SitRep- What You're NOT Being Told About Current World Events!
I Cut Through The Bullshit, So You Won't Have To.
Let’s dive right in-
Russia-Ukraine:
The Ukraine is losing badly, and has been for a pretty good while now. The NYT (the old grey shady) just confirmed everything that many of us have known for years; This was another US-NATO proxy war, and we lost, again. We’re like The Bad News Bears of warfighting. I mean, the MIC, and a bunch of corrupt politicians made some serious ching, so not a total loss for them, but for over a million Ukrainian men, it was a forever loss.
The supposed negotiations are going nowhere fast. Why? Because Russia is winning, so they have no interest in any kind of ceasefire. The “Ukrainians” running their failed state know that they are as good as dead if the Russians gets them, so it’s in their interest to prevent that for as long as possible. However, when their military defenses finally collapse in a final rout, they will be scrambling and scurrying in every direction, trying to get their money out of there, and find themselves some safe haven, ASAP.
The US can’t force shit, because we have zero leverage right now. Sanctions? Tried, and failed. Russia’s $300 Billion? They have already written it off. While Trump really wants a quick fix, Putin has no reason to give it to him, and in fact, I suspect he enjoys letting things drag out. After years of fucking with him, I can’t blame him.
The US needs to get rid of Zalensky, but that’s messy, and he is under threat of death if he betrays Azov. His MI6 handlers and body guards can probably get him out alive whenever they want, but if he just skedaddles, his sham government will begin it’s free fall collapse, leaving a power vacuum, and a mad rush of fellow scoundrels looking to flee, and other, more power-mad types, vying for control.
Europe doesn’t want that because it guarantees that they never get repaid a penny, and the loss will hang around their necks like a rotting albatross. Also, when they no longer have “the Ukraine, Russia, and Putin” to cry about, their populations will fully expect that they start doing something, ANYTHING to fix their domestic fiasco nations. That’s real, hard, actual work, and they are scared shitless to even act like they are trying, because it’s untenable without some serious pain!
Nope, this war is going to continue for now, until either-
1- Zalensky is killed, couped, or dies of “bad luck”.
2- The Ukrainian defenses collapse in an absolute rout, which probably leads to #1.
3- The Russians achieve everything that they want on the ground, and then decide they can declare victory and call it mission accomplished. Then Zalensky gets “replaced”, and a peace agreement is achieved 100% on Russian terms.
Iran:
The US is not going to unilaterally launch a major attack on Iran! Why?
1- It’s unlikely to be very successful, i.e. targets not destroyed, aircraft shot down, and a bunch of missiles launched at the shitty little US bases in the area.
2- Escalation that we don’t want. Putting some bombers, and refueling aircraft on Diego Garcia is a low risk bluff. Flying over Iran, trying to hit targets isn’t. It’s very risky, almost guaranteed to fail, and will lead to a game of escalation that we DO NOT want to play, so it might end in humiliation for the US and Trump. If Trump goes against his entire voting block, to instead serve Israel, by escalating with Iran, his entire agenda, and presidency is finished; And so is he! Sure, the neocons will suck his toes, and Israel will too, but every voter will turn their back on him as a warmonger fraud.
3- Failing to end one war: The Ukraine, and instead, deciding to start another: Iran, is a total loss for Trump and his agenda. He knows he can’t risk it. Bombing the Houthis is so minor and common that nobody cares; But it did gets some people’s attention, and it’s NOT why they elected Trump.
4- “Supporting Israel” is one thing, and it’s fairly popular, politically, but anything beyond that is the road to disaster. Adelson’s $100 million isn’t enough to risk losing the entire chess match, and Trump knows this.
Israel-
As stated, supporting them is pretty easy and low risk, (politically) if they don’t go insane, which they might.
1- Netanyahu is on very shaky ground! The IDF is tired of fighting, the people are angry that he hasn’t been trying to get the hostages back, and is instead focusing on expanded fighting in Lebanon, Syria, and the West Bank, and back into Gaza again.
2- If I’m being 100% honest, I’m not sure how he’s stayed in power this long. He still facing prosecution, and now he’s got aids being arrested. His M.O. for staying at a constant state of war is a risky, and a bold gamble.
3- Like much of Europe, the heat that is threatening a civil war, of some ilk, is reaching a boil. The internal divisions, both within his government (held together by bubble gum and duct tape) and within the entire country, are nearing the breaking point.
4- As much as they “think” they want to wipe out Iran (more constant state of war), without the US, they can’t! And you’ve already seen all the reasons why I don’t think we will jump in to help them. The “game” is to keep threatening Iran, trying to goad them into doing “something” that will give cause to respond (ala- what we did with Russia the entire SMO… these people have very limited imaginations). Netanyahu still thinks that genociding Gazans & West Bank Palis, expanding into Syria and Lebanon, might do it, but it doesn’t look like it. It looks like Iran has learned from Russia, that “you don’t do something, until you have to do something”, versus getting tricked into it.
Europe-
Their dreams of an expanded war with Russia over the failing and collapsing Ukraine, are dying a quick death. Their stupid idea of getting involved, militarily, was stillborn.
Internal politics have made them cripples internationally. They don’t have the industrial base, the economies, or willing populations to go to war, as a choice. At this point, I’m not sure if many of their citizens would accept the call to arms if Russia invaded tomorrow.
They’re already “invaded” by third world scum, and their governments just keep bringing in more- How are you going to convince your population to militarize and mobilize under those circumstances? Especially for a purely optional war? Even talking about it too much might ignite a civil war, never mind trying to do it!
1- This system of “Managed Democracy” election shenanigans is getting very old, and the proles and peasants in the EU are taking notice. Trying to Color Revolution Hungary, make political parties illegal in Germany, cancelling elections in Romania, and practicing lawfare against La Pen in France… all of this isn’t lost on voters and tax payers in the EU.
2- The UK is ready to blow. France may be next with this La Pen move. Germany is struggling, floundering, and failing. Romania is in complete dysfunction already. In fact, if you had to label every nation in the EU as “stable or volatile”, I’m not sure how many “stables nations” there are now.
3- Recession, Repression, Oppression, with no light at the end of the tunnel. The current EU method of “managing” is failing. Very few in the EU thinks it’s because of “Russia, Russia, Russia”, and they know it’s the EU, their complicit government officials, and an overall plan that doesn’t include their happiness.
It’s all so bad, that the US, starting with Vance chastising them, and ending with Trump totally ignoring them, is fed up with the whole mess.
Trump tried to warn them in the past, and they didn’t listen. Well, now he has no need to listen to them, at all. Who’s laughing now?
Europe succeeded in isolating themselves from the current US, from Russia, and from China and Iran by extension. Who does that leave them with? The Ukraine? That’s like being lost at sea, and your only friend being a boat anchor! Turkey? Shit… Nobody trusts those slimy fuckers, not even each other. Besides, they’re focused on Syria right now, and they were really a partner to Europe.
The next few weeks and months are going to be very exiting indeed!
Buckle-up, it’s going to get bumpy!
Every day, in Every way, things get better and better . . .
Very concise and exact and to the point, Mike. Good Work, TY.